Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 3.800119 4.217092 4.670749 5.202629 5.811213 6.488256 7.301823
2025-08-03 3.232232 3.794058 4.449557 5.277142 6.303016 7.544628 9.178977
2025-08-10 2.855863 3.490262 4.269016 5.307986 6.677172 8.447678 10.956835
2025-08-17 2.507949 3.158963 3.989361 5.145239 6.743358 8.922399 12.203625
2025-08-24 2.270704 2.934000 3.808145 5.070341 6.890527 9.492762 13.634380
2025-08-31 2.094351 2.767359 3.680249 5.042328 7.083077 10.130927 15.241181
2025-09-07 2.002568 2.704413 3.683717 5.193225 7.543507 11.213889 17.711214
2025-09-14 1.873468 2.575782 3.578892 5.167693 7.723172 11.869819 19.566897
2025-09-21 1.754105 2.450486 3.466147 5.114858 7.846706 12.439620 21.354729
2025-09-28 1.603510 2.267717 3.252191 4.881078 7.643709 12.420845 22.032949
2025-10-05 1.535523 2.203729 3.213546 4.923545 7.907730 13.250896 24.498884
2025-10-12 1.487290 2.165927 3.211579 5.024069 8.280294 14.323446 27.661318
2025-10-19 1.441959 2.131105 3.214013 5.136402 8.695196 15.552390 31.468807
2025-10-26 1.391083 2.083998 3.192772 5.205328 9.037706 16.690977 35.345226
2025-11-02 1.337098 2.028042 3.152176 5.234872 9.306397 17.715921 39.196764
2025-11-09 1.254009 1.919180 3.014561 5.074743 9.181276 17.879374 40.900855
2025-11-16 1.192709 1.842936 2.927663 5.001083 9.221920 18.411616 43.710678
2025-11-23 1.143772 1.784648 2.868011 4.973537 9.354156 19.170140 47.345353
2025-11-30 1.125803 1.777902 2.898451 5.121889 9.876406 20.927489 54.408969
2025-12-07 1.082973 1.725663 2.843632 5.096789 10.015976 21.775046 58.933776
2025-12-14 1.039250 1.669540 2.778235 5.044845 10.089177 22.466628 63.167691
2025-12-21 0.973814 1.571979 2.631143 4.814984 9.731196 21.985795 63.272862
2025-12-28 0.949023 1.545775 2.615560 4.856742 10.012372 23.254288 70.000896